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2023 First Round Mock Draft 1.0

Alabama QB Bryce Young : Jamie Schwaberow/Getty Images

The 2022 NFL Season is officially over, which means it’s time for one of my favorite parts of the year — draft time! Spring will be in full force, the sun will be out, the birds will be singing, and my allergies will be in full attack mode. Let’s look at the players with my first 2023 Mock Draft!

There won’t be any trades in this mock, but we may add that down the line as we get closer to April 27.

#1 — Chicago Bears

I would imagine the Bears would like to trade out of this pick for a bounty with several suitors, including the Texans, Colts, Raiders, Falcons, and Panthers. However, if they are unable to do so, Carter will be a phenomenal consolation prize. Matt Eberflus had success with great defensive tackles like DeForest Buckner and Grover Stewart, and if they are able to get a guy like Carter — they get themselves a nasty defensive tackle who can both rush the quarterback and stuff the run.

#2 — Houston Texans

I’ve seen theories that the Texans are not going to be taking a quarterback in this draft, that they can always draft Caleb Williams next year. But here’s the question — do they really want to tank again? I think the hiring of DeMeco Ryans indicates that this team is done treading water, and they are ready to pursue an actual rebuild beyond the tanking stage. Bryce Young may be undersized, but he’s accurate, mobile, and a flat-out playmaker at the quarterback position.

#3 — Arizona Cardinals

Anderson is probably the early choice for 2023 Defensive Rookie of the Year, and when your number one NFL comparison is Von Miller, it’s a good sign. Anderson is an excellent pass rusher, fast, strong, and smart, and should work well with Jonathan Gannon, who likes to let his pass rushers get downfield without much blitz support.

#4 — Indianapolis Colts

Levis is slowly climbing up draft boards, and while I understand that his arm and tools are impressive, I really don’t see it with him. But teams are going to fall in love with his combination of arm talent and athleticism, and see shades of Josh Allen — but he is Allen, or Zach Wilson? I suppose we will see in time. I don’t think the Colts will stick and pick at 4, but I think if it played out like this, they’d take Levis.

#5 — Seattle Seahawks (from Broncos)

Wilson, like Travon Walker last cycle, has pushed himself up draft boards with his raw athletic ability and potential. I think that the Combine will make him even more of a hot commodity, and he’ll be getting #1 overall buzz by the draft. Wilson would be great for a Seahawks team that needs to upgrade all levels of their defense.

#6 — Detroit Lions (from Rams)

Witherspoon is an incredible cornerback, with great football IQ, athleticism, and instincts to make him a true shutdown CB1 in the NFL. He can be somewhat grabby, but I think his play style would fit tremendously with the kind of player that Dan Campbell would want on his defense.

#7 — Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders have officially cut Derek Carr, clearly placing them in the thick of the QB market. C.J. Stroud is the best pure passer in this class, with a phenomenal arm and pinpoint accuracy. He rarely used his athleticism in college, but he is quick and if a coach unlocks that part of his game he could be an even more deadly threat. Playing at Ohio State is always a question mark because of the talent around him, but Stroud is a really good young QB and my QB2 in the class.

#8 — Atlanta Falcons

I will be honest — I love Anthony Richardson. I know that what I said for Will Levis might come off as hypocritical now, but I think that the difference is that Richardson was more productive than Levis was and has better tools than Levis does. He is probably the most toolsy QB prospect since Cam Newton, with the body of a tight end, the speed of a receiver, and an absolute cannon of an arm. His accuracy and mechanics need work, but Richardson has just about everything else.

#9 — Carolina Panthers

I really think that in real life, the Panthers are going to go after a quarterback, and will trade up if they need to do so. However, if the four top quarterbacks go elsewhere, there are worse ways to spend a first round pick than on a franchise right tackle. The duo of Ickey Ekwonu and Johnson should be phenomenal for the Panthers.

Christian Gonzalez : Mark J. Reiblas/USA Today

#10 — Philadelphia Eagles (from Saints)

James Bradberry is a free agent who has likely priced himself out of the Eagles’ range. Darius Slay is entering a contract year. The Eagles need a cornerback that they can build around long-term, something they really haven’t had since Lito Sheppard (who also happens to be the last DB the Eagles took in the first round). Gonzalez is a long, physical cornerback with excellent ball skills who I think would fit the Eagles very well.

#11 — Tennessee Titans

The Titans are likely entering a rebuild, and with the way their offensive line played down the stretch, I would imagine getting a piece like Skoronski would be high on Mike Vrabel’s wish list. Skoronski could probably start at all five OL spots. I wouldn’t be stunned if the Titans move on from Taylor Lewan, and replace him with a new franchise LT.

UPDATE (2/22/23): The Titans have released Taylor Lewan.

#12 — Houston Texans (from Browns)

DeMeco Ryans loves versatile linemen, and I think that Van Ness, a toolsy, powerful lineman who can rush from the edge and inside, would work well in Ryans’ defensive scheme. The Texans come out of this draft with franchise guys at quarterback and the defensive line — Ryans couldn’t do much better in his first year here.

#13 — New York Jets

Bresee is a big, strong, nasty defensive tackle, but one who will likely need more tools in the box to be a high-level starter at the NFL level. Pairing him with Quinnen Williams on the interior would be a nasty combination for opposing offenses to deal with.

#14 — New England Patriots

The Patriots need a receiver, especially with Jakobi Meyers likely departing for greener pastures. Johnston is my WR1 in this class at the moment, and his blend of size, speed, and playmaking ability could really open up the Patriots’ passing game, whether his quarterback is Mac Jones, Bailey Zappe, or someone else.

#15 — Green Bay Packers

Darnell Savage hasn’t exactly worked out the way that the Packers hoped, and giving their defense yet another playmaker in the secondary could help. I am a huge fan of Branch, and think he could be successful playing either safety or slot corner in the NFL. We all know the Packers should draft a wideout, but they won’t, and deep down, we all know it.

#16 — Washington Commanders

The Commanders need a great corner on the outside, and in Porter, they’ll be getting a physical, tough player with phenomenal ball skills. He can fit well in the type of aggressive defense that Jack Del Rio wants to run. Frankly, I don’t think you can really go wrong with any of the top three corners in this draft.

#17 — Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers desperately need offensive linemen, and Jones could be a really good piece who could play both tackle and guard depending on where the Steelers would want him. O’Cyrus Torrence is possible as well, but Jones offers the flexibility and power that seem to fit with what the Steelers want from a tackle.

#18 — Detroit Lions

In this mock, I have Detroit adding a franchise-caliber cornerback in the top 10, but with their other pick, I think it only makes sense to add another piece to what was one of the league’s best offenses in 2022. Addison could give yet another threat to Detroit, and between him, Amon-Ra St. Brown, their offensive line, and their run game, this team could make a legit run for the NFC North crown this season.

#19 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Murphy is a project, but one with phenomenal upside, and could probably play defensive tackle on a rotational basis. He could help a Buccaneers team in transition by providing them with a young piece to develop.

#20 — Seattle Seahawks

Can’t have too many defensive linemen in the modern NFL. Kancey is a bit of a projection, but as the Seahawks already drafted an edge in Tyree Wilson, Kancey could give their line another boost on the interior.

Zay Flowers : Bob DeChiara/USA Today

#21 — Los Angeles Chargers

The number one thing that this offense lacks is speed. They have the possession receiver in Keenan Allen, and the physical contested catch guy in Mike Williams, but Allen ran a 4.7 40 (ten years ago), and Williams ran a 4.5. This team desperately needs a speedy playmaker who can take advantage of Justin Herbert’s missile arm, and Flowers is that guy in this draft. He’s undersized, but even if he opens up that passing game running mostly go routes, he can really help.

#22 — Baltimore Ravens

With Todd Monken coming in as offensive coordinator, this offense will be making a stylistic change — because Monken loves to throw downfield. A lot. When he coordinated the Buccaneers’ offense in 2018, their two quarterbacks — Jameis Winston and Ryan Fitzpatrick — finished second and third in intended air yards per attempt. Keeping Lamar Jackson, and getting him another receiving threat, could really open up this offense.

#23 — Minnesota Vikings

Here’s a tip for drafting NFL-caliber defenders — send scouts to Georgia. Nolan Smith is a very quick, deceptively strong edge rusher who also excels in the run game. He is small — 6'3", 235 lbs — but guys like Haason Reddick have shown that smaller edge rushers can be difference makers.

#24 — Jacksonville Jaguars

What does Doug Pederson’s scheme prioritize? Tight ends in the passing game. What does Trent Baalke like to do? Stockpile players at positions. Mayer, a physical, aggressive, classic tight end, would fit very well with the speed and route-running ability of Evan Engram — sort of like Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert at Pederson’s previous head coaching job.

#25 — New York Giants

You want to help Daniel Jones? Keep him upright. Torrence is the best pure guard prospect in this class, and for a team that desperately needs interior linemen, Torrence is a ready-made NFL guard perfectly suited to go in the late first or early second round.

#26 — Dallas Cowboys

What does Jerry Jones love more than anything else? Aside from Jason Garrett, it’s running backs, particularly in the first round. Robinson is probably not the most logical pick for the Cowboys, but imagine this — cut Zeke, franchise Pollard, and have a dual threat run game between Robinson and Pollard. The Cowboys might set a record for rushing yards in a season, and he would help in the short-yardage game as another receiver for Dak Prescott.

#27 — Buffalo Bills

The Bills’ loss in the Divisional Round shows that this team desperately needs more pass rushing help, and I would imagine that Carter would be close to the best that they could get in the late first round. He’s not the best Carter in this draft, but he’s sure as hell the second.

#28 — Cincinnati Bengals

Both Jessie Bates and Vonn Bell are free agents, and with the Bengals nearing an extension for Joe Burrow, they won’t be able to keep them both. Drafting Dax Hill last season was a smart long term bet, one that I think they should continue by taking Johnson, another safety/slot corner hybrid like Brian Branch.

#29 — New Orleans Saints (from SF via MIA)

McKee is not nearly on the level of the top 4 quarterbacks in this class, but he has slowly been working his way into the first-round conversation. If the Carr-to-NO rumors are true, I think McKee could easily be the pick to develop behind Carr for a year or two and take over the franchise once he moves on.

B.J. Ojulari : John Korduner/Getty

#30 — Philadelphia Eagles

If you’re wondering who to mock to the Eagles in the first round, it never hurts to give them a lineman. I’m a big fan of B.J.’s brother, Azeez, and their games are somewhat similar. Ojulari could stand to add some strength to his game, but I think that he could be a really nice piece on the Eagles’ defensive line.

#31 — Kansas City Chiefs

With the departure of Tyreek Hill last season, the Chiefs began running more and more multiple-TE sets. In addition, Travis Kelce is now in his mid-30s, and drafting a guy in Kincaid who could be an immediate contributor in 12 or 13 personnel now as well as a potential Kelce successor later would be a smart move for Kansas City.

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